For the past week, more than 10,000 new cases have been identified every day, exposing a sharp increase in contamination. Figures that worry a week from the deconfinement planned for December 15 by the government.
The increase in cases could lead to a postponement of deconfinement
According to the Director General of Health Jérôme Salomon, who spoke last night, France is ” still far from the target of 5,000 cases per day ”Set by the government to consider deconfinement next week. ” Despite our best efforts, we still face a high risk of an epidemic rebound. In recent days, the level of daily contaminations has not dropped “. As a reminder, the President of the Republic Emmanuel Macron declared during his speech at the end of November that ” December 15, if we arrived well around 5,000 contaminations per day and around 2,500 to 3,000 people in intensive care (…), then the confinement can be lifted “. According to data from Public Health France, France currently has 10,000 new cases on average, ” against 5,000 in the heart of summer »As well as 4,000 patients on average in intensive care. The objective of 5,000 contaminations per day then seems ” very difficult »To be reached before December 15, the date scheduled to lift travel restrictions and reopen establishments open to the public.
An opinion shared by the scientific community
For infectious disease specialist Karine Lacombe, achieving the goal of 5,000 daily cases ” is going to be very complicated, if not impossible. We have a slight increase which is confirmed in recent days, it’s boring “. She is ” a little worried about the total number of people infected, not so much about the number of people in intensive care “. Guillaume Rozier, founder of the Covid Tracker site, even estimates that the number of contaminations could be ” 6,500, or even 7,000, or even 8,000 new cases per day as of December 15 “. Noting also that all the contaminations have not yet been identified: ” Currently, we do not include rapid tests in the cases that we count, which will be the case in the coming days, and this will increase the number of cases by up to 16%. He adds.
A plan B for December 15?
Even if Prime Minister Jean Castex and Minister of Health Olivier Véran conceded that “ will not be at the target of December 15 », It is difficult to imagine a questioning of the deconfinement plan planned by the government 10 days before Christmas. A Defense Council will take place tomorrow Wednesday to discuss the current situation and possible scenarios to be put in place if the number of contaminations does not drop back to 5,000 cases daily. The government wishes to keep in mind that the objective is to avoid the “stop and go” strategy, which consists of alternating strict and then flexible measures with, for example, repeated confinements.
