January 26, 1999 – Two recent studies published in the British Medical Journal report on the havoc smoking is wreaking in China. Thus, in 1952, the men smoked there on average 1 cigarette per day; in 1996, their consumption medium had climbed to 11. What are the effects of this smoking epidemic?
Bo Qi Liu and his colleagues at the National Cancer Institute of China compared 700,000 people who died from cancer, respiratory or cardiovascular diseases with 300,000 people who died from other diseases. As might be expected, the incidence of lung cancer is three times higher in smokers. Their percentage of deaths from cancer (51%), respiratory disease (31%) and cardiovascular disease (15%) is also higher. If the increase in cigarette consumption continues at the same rate, tobacco could kill 100 million of the 300 million Chinese males currently between 0 and 29 years old, before they reach 70 years of age.
The prevalence of smoking among Chinese is revealed by the fact that a proportional sample of Chinese males aged 40 and over has 75% smokers. In 1990, tobacco was already responsible for 12% of deaths of men under 70 in China. This figure is expected to reach 33% by 2030, or 3 million deaths per year.
Cynics can have fun doing the following calculation: Knowing that there is a surplus of 70 million men over the number of women in China, in how many years will tobacco mortality balance out? new the number of people of each sex?
HealthPassport.net
PasseportSanté.net, according to Medical News, January 20, 1999