While a new confinement has just been put in place, many French people are wondering about the unfolding of the end of the year celebrations. They are 53% to think that the confinement will be extended and will end before the Christmas and New Year holidays. A gradual deconfinement with curfew could in particular be put in place.
“Different” end-of-year celebrations
Jean-François Delfraissy, president of the scientific council, thinks that the confinement, “adapted” to the situation, could end with a gradual deconfinement, in particular with the establishment of a new curfew. “The scenario is instead to have a month-long lockdown, look at the different markers, and then get out of lockdown via a curfew that could continue through December, possibly covering Christmas and the Day of the Month. An, and only get out at the beginning of January. The lower figure of 5,000 new infections per day is achievable at this time. With this level, the strategy which is to test, trace, isolate, is achievable ”.
According to him, the Christmas holidays will be done in small groups, because “on December 1, we will not be at 5000 contaminations per day” warns Jean-François Delfraissy, recalling that this figure is the objective set to sufficiently slow down the progression of the disease. virus, “it’s going to take longer.” Fearing a peak in contamination during family reunions during the holidays, Frédérique Jacobs, head of the infectious disease department at the Erasme hospital in Brussels, recommends celebrating Christmas next summer to avoid confining the population again after the holidays.
Towards progressive deconfinement?
According to Éric Caumes, head of the infectious diseases department at the Pitié-Salpêtrière hospital in Paris, thinks that deconfinement has been missed, which is why France has chosen to reconfigure: “We were too fast, we are abruptly passed from confinement to deconfinement without any particular precaution or intermediate step, such as curfews, strict at first, then more flexible. We did not impose quarantine on travelers coming from abroad, we imported many cases. I hope that we will not reproduce the same errors, that we will gradually come out of confinement when the time comes, and that we will not miss the “trace, test, isolate” strategy that countries are putting into practice. Asians, models, or even Germany ”.
Éric Caumes and Jean-François Delfraissy also both mention the possibility of a third wave, the latter specifying that a “third wave is not excluded. […] But I don’t always want to deliver bad news, I’m still basically an optimist, we’re going to be okay with this. The innovation will arrive, but not before spring 2021 ”.
